Dr. Frank van den Bosch

School of Science, Engineering and Environment

Image of Dr. Frank van den Bosch coming soon
Current positions

Post Doc Fellow


Undergraduate study in ecology and mathematical biology. PhD in mathematical biology, ‘The rate of spread of biological invaders’. Post-docs in plant disease epidemiology and aquatic ecology. Lecturer at Wageningen University in the Mathematics Department with a 50% teaching load. Transfer to Rothamsted Research in 2000, became a Principal Investigator. Since 2019 I am a Post Doctoral Fellow at Salford University.

Areas of research

Biomathematics, Invasion biology, Ecology, Modelling

Research Interests

  • Detection and control of biological invasions. Methods to monitor for invading species including early detection and the establishment of pathogen absence. Models to quantify the rate of invasion by pests and pathogens including new strains of endemic pests and pathogens.
  • Evolutionary ecology and population genetics. Methods to study how pathogen and host life-cycle components affect the evolution of plants and pathogens. The methods developed are applied to climate change, the use of fungicide s and cultivar resistance and the effect of seasonal host dynamics.


1. Parnell S, Gottwald TR, Cunniffe NJ, Alonso Chavez V, van den Bosch F (2015) Early detection surveillance for an emerging plant pathogen: a rule of thumb to predict prevalence at first detection. Proceeding of the Royal Society B 282: 47-55.

2. Grimmer MK, van den Bosch F, Powers SJ, Paveley ND (2015) Fungicide resistance risk assessment based on traits associated with the rate of pathogen evolution. Pest Management Science 71: 207-215.

3. Chavez, V. A., Parnell, S., & Bosch, F. V. D. (2015). Designing strategies for epidemic control in a tree nursery: the case of ash dieback in the UK. Forests, 6(11), 4135-4145.

4. Milne AE, Bell JR, Hutchinson WD, van den Bosch F, Mitchel PD, Crowder D, Parnell S, Whitmore AP (2015) The Effect of Farmers’ Decisions on Pest Control with Bt Crops: a Billion Dollar Game of Strategy . PLOS Computational Biology, 11(12): e1004483.

5. van den Berg F, Paveley ND, van den Bosch F (2016) Dose and number of applications that maximize fungicide effective life exemplified by Zymoseptoria tritici on wheat. Plant Pathology 65, 1380–1389

6. Kitchen JL, van den Bosch F, Paveley ND, Helps J, van den Berg F (2016) The Evolution of  Fungicide Resistance Resulting from Combinations of Foliar-Acting Systemic Seed Treatments and Foliar- Applied Fungicides: A Modeling Analysis. PLoS ONE 11(8): e0161887.

7. McQuaid CF, Sseruwagi P, Pariyo A, van den Bosch F (2016)  Cassava brown streak disease and the sustainability of a clean seed system. Plant Pathology (2016) 65, 299–309

8. Alonso Chavez V, Parnell S, Van Den Bosch F (2016) Monitoring invasive pathogens in plant nurseries for early-detection and to minimise the probability of escape. Journal of Theoretical Biology        407:290–302

9. Mikaberidze A, Paveley N, Bonhoeffer S, and van den Bosch F (2017) Emergence of resistance to fungicides: the role of fungicide dose. Phytopathology 107: 545-560.

10. McQuaid CF, van den Bosch F, Szyniszewska A, Alicai T, Pariyo A, Chikoti PC, et al. (2017) Spatial dynamics and control of a crop pathogen with mixed-mode transmission. PLoS Comput Biol 13(7): e1005654. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005654

11. Brown N, van den Bosch F, Parnell S, Denman S (2017) Integrating regulatory surveys and citizen    science to map outbreaks of forest diseases: acute oak decline in England and Wales. Proceeding of               the Royal Society B 284: 20170547.

12. Helps JC, Paveley N, van den Bosch F (2017) Identifying circumstances under which high insecticide dose increases or decreases resistance selection. Journal of Theoretical Biology 428:153-167.

13. Jørgensen LN, van den Bosch F, Oliver RP, Heick TM, Paveley ND (2017) Targeting fungicide inputs according to need. Annual Review of Phytopathology 55: 181-203.

14. Parnell S, van den Bosch F, Gottwald T, Gilligan GA (2017) Surveillance to inform control of emerging plant diseases; an epidemiological perspective. Annual Review of Phytopathology 55: 591-610.

15. Young C, van den Bosch F, Fraaije B, Burnet F, King S, Gosling P, Paveley N (2017) Strategies to delay the development of fungicide resistance: Alternation, mixtures or restricting the number of treatments? Aspects of Applied Biology 134, Crop Production in Southern Britain,37.

16. Carolan K, Helps J, van den Berg F, Bain R, Paveley N, van den Bosch F. Extending the durability of cultivar resistance by limiting epidemic growth rates. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 284: 20170828.http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.0828

17. van den Berg F, Paveley ND, Bingham IJ, van den Bosch F (2017) Physiological and developmental             traits determining yield tolerance of wheat to foliar diseases. Phytopathology 107: 1468-1478.

18. van den Bosch F, Lopez F, Oliver R, Paveley N, Helps J, van den Berg F. Cost benefit analysis of fungicide applications: to increase or decrease fungicide dose when resistance is developing. Plant Pathology 67: 549-560.

19. Kema GHJ, Mirzadi Gohari A, Aouini L, Gibriel HAY, Ware SB, Van den Bosch F, Manning-Smith R, Alonso-Chavez V, Helps J, Ben M’Barek S, Mehrabi R, Diaz-Trujillo C, Zamani E, Schouten HJ Van der Lee TAJ, Waalwijk C, de Waard MA, de Wit PJGM, Verstappen ECP, Thomma BHJ, Meijer HJG, Seidl MF,  The hidden sex life of a plant pathogen unveils a new paradigm for disease epidemiology. Nature Genetics 50, pages375–380.

20. Van den Bosch Frank, Jeger Michael J, (2017). The basic reproduction number of vector-borne plant    virus epidemics. VIRUS RESEARCH, pp. 196-202

21. McQuaid Christopher Finn, Gilligan Christopher Aidan, van den Bosch Frank, (2017). Considering behaviour to ensure the success of a disease control strategy. Royal Society Open Science, 4 (12)

22. Mastin A, van den Bosch F, Gottwald TR, Alonso Chavez V, Parnell SR.  (2017) A method of

determining where to target surveillance efforts in heterogeneous epidemiological systems. PLoS Comput Biol. 28;13(8):e1005712

23. Alonso-Chavez V, Gilligan CA, van den Bosch F. (2018) Economic strategies to minimise the

introduction of invasive pathogens through trade into plant nurseries. Journal of Applied Ecology 56:180- 189.

24. Brown N, van den Bosch F, Denman S, Parnell S. (2018) Integrating state surveys and public

reports to monitor outbreaks of forest pests and diseases: assessing the distribution of Acute Oak Decline in England and Wales. Proceeding of the Royal Society B 284: 20170547.

25. van den Bosch F, Lopez F, Oliver R, Paveley N, Helps J, van den Berg F. (2018) Identifying

when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops. Plant Pathology 67, 549–560.

26. Milne AE, Teiken C, Deledalle F, van den Bosch F, Gottwald T, McRoberts N (2018) Growers' risk perception and trust in control options for huanglongbing citrus-disease in Florida and California Crop Protection 114: 177-186.

27.1 Bourhis Y, Gottwald TR, Lopez-Ruiz FJ, Patarapuwadol S and Van Den Bosch F (2019) Sampling for disease absence-deriving informed monitoring from epidemic traits. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 461, pp. 8-16.

28. Bourhis Y, Gottwald TR, van den Bosch F (2019) Translating surveillance data into incidence estimates. Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society B Biological Sciences 74(1776):20180262

29. Masthi AJ, van den Bosch F, van den Berg F, Parnell S (2019) Quantifying the hidden costs of imperfect detection for early detection surveillance. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences 374(1776):20180261

30. Milne AE, Gottwald T, Parnell SR, Alonzo Chavez V, van den Bosch F (2019) What makes or breaks a campaign to stop an invading plant pathogen? Plos Computational Biology, accepted.

31. Young C, Fraaije B, van den Bosch F, Lucas J, Gosling P, Burnett F, Knight S, Boor T, Corkley I, Paveley ND (2019) Advantages and disadvantages of mixing two single-site acting fungicides. Plant Pathology, accepted.

32. van den Bosch F, Blake J, Gosling P, Helps J, Paveley N (2019) Identifying when it is financially beneficial to increase or decrease fungicide dose as resistance develops: a long-term evaluation from field experiments. Plant Pathology, accepted.