Professor Philip Scarf

Professor of Applied Statistics

• Maxwell 615
• T: 0161 295 3817
• E: p.a.scarf@salford.ac.uk
• SEEK: Research profile

Monday 11.00am – 1.00pm

Tuesday 1.00pm -3.00pm

Professor Scarf has wide ranging interests in the application of statistical modelling in sport, reliability and maintenance, and corrosion engineering. He organises conferences on Mathematics in Sport (www.ima.org.uk/Conferences/3rd_maths_sport/index.html) and Maintenance Modelling (www.ima.org.uk/Conferences/7th_mimar/index.html). He has advised the FA Premier League regarding football player rating, and has held EPSRC grants relating to development of optimum strategy in track cycling, and modelling of the training process. He is editor of the IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (http://imaman.oxfordjournals.org/).

Summary of research:

h-index: 11 (Elsevier Scopus); 9 (Thomson-Reuters SCI).

53 refereed journal articles; 43 ISI listed aticles; 43 Scopus listed

Most cited:  P.A. Scarf (1997) On the application of mathematical models in maintenance, Eur.J.Opl. Res. 99, 493-506 (100 citations).

Modules delivered: Research Methods; Statistics

External examiner: Southampton (MSc OR, BSc Mathematics); Trinity College Dublin (BSc Management Sciences and Information Systems); Sheffield University (BSc Management).

Applied Statistics and OperationalResearch models in Sport, Maintenance Modelling, Asset Management  and Corrosion Engineering

PhD (Manchester)

BSc (Sheffield)

M.D. Berrade, P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante (2012) Maintenance scheduling of a protection system subject to imperfect inspection and replacement.  Eur.J.Opl.Res. 218, 716–725.

P.A. Scarf  & S. Akhtar (2012) Forecasting test cricket match outcomes in play. Intl.J. Forecasting 28, 632-643.

K. Zhang, H. Chen, J. Boylan and P. Scarf (2011) Generalised estimators for seasonal forecasting by combining grouping with shrinkage approaches. Journal of Forecasting 10.1002/for.1254.

P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante (2012) Modelling quality in replacement and inspection maintenance. Intl.J.Prod.Econ. 135, 372-381.

I.G. McHale, P.A. Scarf & D.E. Folker (2012) On the development of a soccer player performance rating system for the English Premier League. Interfaces 42, 339-351.

K. Zhang, Y. Li, P.A. Scarf & A.Ball (2011) Feature selection using multiple models and radial basis function networks for rotating machinery fault diagnosis.  Neurocomputing 74, 2941-2952.

P.A. Scarf & H. Al-Majid (2011) Modelling warranty extensions: a case study in the automotive industry. Proc Inst Mech Eng part O: J of Risk and Reliability 225, 251-265.

C.A.V. Cavalcante, P.A.Scarf & A de Almeida (2011) A study of a two-phase inspection policy for a preparedness system with a defective state and heterogeneous lifetime. Reliab. Eng. Sys. Safety 69, 627-635.

P.A. Scarf  & S. Akhtar (2011) An analysis of strategy in the first three innings in test cricket: declaration and the follow-on. Journal of the Operational Research Society 62, 1931-1940.

P.A. Scarf & M. Mat Yusof (2011) A numerical study of tournament structure and seeding policy for the soccer World Cup Finals. Statistica Neerlandica 65, 43-57.

P.A. Scarf, X. Shi & S. Akhtar (2011) The distribution of runs scored and batting strategy in test cricket. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A 174, 471-497.

I. McHale & P.A. Scarf (2011) Modelling the dependence of goals scored by opposing teams in international soccer matches. Statistical Modelling 11, 219-236.

N.J.Laycock, P.J.Laycock, P.A.Scarf and D.P.Krouse (2010) Applications of Statistical Analysis Techniques in Corrosion Experimentation, Testing, Inspection and Monitoring. In Richardson J.A. et al. (eds.) Schreir’s Corrosion, volume 2, pp.1547-1580 Amsterdam, Elsevier.