Salford Business School

Courses developed in partnership with business leaders

David Percy

Professor David Percy

Professor of Mathematics

  • Maxwell 619
  • T: +44 (0)161 295 4710
  • E:
  • SEEK: Research profile

Office Times

Appointments available on request


I am a Professor of Mathematics, Associate Director of the Centre for Sports Business, Chair of the Staff and Postgraduate Research Ethics Panel, and Member of the Ethics Committee. I deliver lectures and tutorials for undergraduate and postgraduate students, and have experience as visiting professor, external examiner, reviewer, editor, referee, research committee member, academic investigator, research convenor, doctoral supervisor, programme leader, module leader, internal examiner, industrial placements tutor and admissions tutor. I hold honorary positions for the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications as Member of Council, Chair of the Mathematics Today Editorial Board, Chair of the Conferences Committee, Member of the Finance Committee and Past Chair of the North West Branch Committee. I am a Member of the Mathematical Methods in Reliability Joint Research Group and the MathSport International Conference Committee, and a Past Chair of the General Applications Section of the Royal Statistical Society.


Business Statistics
Data Analysis for Business
Applied Business Research and Analysis
Business Innovation Project
Doctoral Training Programme

Research Interests

My research involves mathematical modelling in sport, reliability and healthcare. Original contributions include hybrid intensity models, generic handicapping systems, roulette combination bets, new randomness tests, efficient car park designs and an optimal dartboard, with developments in prior elicitation, multivariate analysis, stochastic processes and predictive inference. I have organised research meetings, hosted international visits, presented many conference papers, seminars and public lectures, published 75 refereed articles, received 26 grants, supervised 2 postdoctoral researchers and graduated 13 research students. Project collaborators include the National Health Service, Trauma Audit and Research Network, National Lottery Commission, Detectronic, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, International Paralympic Committee, Magnetic Resonance and Image Analysis Research Centre, Smith Institute for Industrial Mathematics and System Engineering, Malaysian Ministries of Transport and Health, Winmau, Defence Evaluation and Research Agency, and various academics, surgeons and solicitors.

PhD Supervision

I recently supervised doctoral students on the following topics:

mathematical modelling in reliability and healthcare, particularly applied probability, statistics and operational research.

I would be interested in supervising future doctoral students in:

mathematical modelling in sport, especially if the student proposes an original application or has access to a novel data set.


Qualifications and Memberships

Bachelor of Science (first class) in Mathematical Studies (Loughborough)
Diploma in Industrial Studies (Loughborough)
Doctor in Philosophy (Liverpool)
Chartered Mathematician
Chartered Scientist
Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications
Member of the London Mathematical Society


Percy DF (2015) A mathematical analysis of badminton scoring systems. Operational Research Applied to Sports (Wright M), Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 181-200.

Percy DF [writing as A. Townie] (2015) Urban maths: car park mayhem. Mathematics Today, 51, 175-177.

Hussain Z, Higginson M, Pickering V and Percy DF (2015) Responding to the needs of students who are carers on an undergraduate occupational therapy programme at one UK university. Student Engagement and Experience Journal, doi: 10.7190/seej.v4i1.92.

Samat NA and Percy DF (2013) Numerical analysis of the SIR-SI differential equations with application to dengue disease mapping in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. International Journal of Mathematical, Computational, Statistical, Natural and Physical Engineering, 7, 642-651.

Percy DF (2015) Strategy selection and outcome prediction in sport using dynamic learning for stochastic processes. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66, 1840-1849.

Percy DF (2013) Generic handicapping for paralympic sports. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 24, 349-361.

Bell SA and Percy DF (2012) Modelling uncertainty in preventive maintenance scheduling. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 28, 604-615.

Samat NA and Percy DF (2012) Vector borne infectious disease mapping with stochastic difference equations: an analysis of dengue disease in Malaysia. Journal of Applied Statistics, 39, 2029-2046.

Percy DF (2012) The optimal dartboard? Mathematics Today, 48, 268-270.

Perrin RN, Richards JD, Pentreath V and Percy DF (2011) Muscle fatigue in chronic fatigue syndrome/myalgic encephalomyelitis (CFS/ME) and its response to a manual therapeutic approach: A pilot study. International Journal of Osteopathic Medicine, 14, 96-105.

Chadwick EA, Sandiford KJ and Percy DF (2011) Assessing student teams developing mathematical models applied to business and industrial mathematics. MSOR Connections, 11, 22-24.

Kearney JR, Percy DF and Kobbacy KAH (2011) Modelling preventive maintenance as a decay process for a two-state system. Ingenieria y Gestion de Mantenimiento, 74, 20-25.

Percy DF (2011) Prior elicitation: a compromise between idealism and pragmatism. Mathematics Today, 47, 142-147.

Percy DF (2011) Interactive shrinkage methods for class handicapping. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 22, 139-156.

Hussain Z, Pickering V, Percy DF, Crane J and Bogg J (2011) An analysis of the experiences of radiography and radiotherapy students who are carers at one UK university. Radiography, 17, 49-54.

Percy DF, Kearney JR and Kobbacy KAH (2010) Hybrid intensity models for repairable systems. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 21, 395-406.

Iswaran N and Percy DF (2010) Conflict analysis using Bayesian neural networks and generalized linear models. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 61, 332-341.

Percy DF (2015) Strategy selection and outcome prediction in sport using dynamic learning for stochastic processes. Journal of the Operational Research Society.

Alghamdi SM and Percy DF (2015) Reliability equivalence factors for a series-parallel system of components with exponentiated Weibull lifetimes. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, doi: 10.1093/imaman/dpv001.