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David Percy

Professor David Percy

Professor of Mathematics

  • Maxwell 619
  • T: +44 (0)161 295 4710
  • E: d.f.percy@salford.ac.uk
  • SEEK: Research profile

Office Times

“Please contact me via email for an appointment”

Biography

I am a Professor of Mathematics, Associate Director of the Centre for Sports Business, Chair of the Research, Enterprise and Engagement Ethics Approval Panel, and Member of the School Ethics Committee. I deliver lectures and tutorials for undergraduate and postgraduate students, and have experience as visiting professor, external examiner, reviewer, editor, referee, research committee member, academic investigator, research convener, doctoral supervisor, programme leader, module leader, internal examiner, industrial placements tutor and admissions tutor.

I hold honorary positions for the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications as Chair of the Mathematics Today Editorial Board, Chair of the Conferences Committee, a Member of the Finance Committee and a Member of the North West Branch Committee, having previously served as a Member of Council and Chair of the NWB Committee. I am also a Member of the Mathematical Methods in Reliability Joint Research Group and previously served as Chair of the General Applications Section of the Royal Statistical Society.

Teaching

Business Statistics (Level 4)

Data Analysis for Business (Level 5)

Applied Business Research and Analysis (Level 6)

Business Innovation Programme (Level 7)

Doctoral Training Programme (Level 8)        

Research Interests

My research involves applications of mathematics in sport, reliability and healthcare. Original contributions include hybrid intensity models, generic handicapping systems, randomness tests, roulette bets and an optimal dartboard, with developments in multivariate analysis, stochastic processes and Bayesian inference. Impact includes improvements to arterial disease diagnosis, dengue disease mapping, national lottery regulation, preventive maintenance scheduling, Alpine skiing analysis, vehicle inspection centres, trauma hospital performance and badminton scoring systems.

Project collaborators include the National Health Service, Trauma Audit and Research Network, National Lottery Commission, Detectronic, Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, International Paralympic Committee, Magnetic Resonance and Image Analysis Research Centre, Smith Institute for Industrial Mathematics and System Engineering, Malaysian Ministry of Transport, Malaysian Ministry of Health, Winmau, Defence Evaluation and Research Agency, and various academics, surgeons and solicitors.

I have organised research conferences, hosted visits and workshops, presented academic seminars and public lectures, published 75 refereed articles, received 27 grants, supervised 2 postdoctoral researchers and graduated 13 research students. I would be interested in supervising self-funding PhD students for mathematical modelling and statistical analysis in sport, if they have original ideas or access to novel data sets.

PhD Supervision

I recently supervised doctoral students on the following topics:

mathematical modelling in reliability and healthcare, particularly applied probability, statistics and operational research.

I would be interested in supervising future doctoral students in:

mathematical modelling in sport, especially if the student proposes an original application or has access to a novel data set.

 

Qualifications and Memberships

Bachelor of Science (first class) in Mathematical Studies (Loughborough)
Diploma in Industrial Studies (Loughborough)
Doctor in Philosophy (Liverpool)
Chartered Mathematician
Chartered Scientist
Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications
Member of the London Mathematical Society

Publications

Percy DF [writing as A Townie] (2016) Urban maths: a commuter’s skeletal symmetry. Mathematics Today, 52, 92-94.

Percy DF (2015) A mathematical analysis of badminton scoring systems. Operational Research Applied to Sports (Wright M), Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 181-200.

Percy DF [writing as A Townie] (2015) Urban maths: car park mayhem. Mathematics Today, 51, 175-177.

Hussain Z, Higginson M, Pickering V and Percy DF (2015) Responding to the needs of students who are carers on an undergraduate occupational therapy programme at one UK university. Student Engagement and Experience Journal, doi: 10.7190/seej.v4i1.92.

Percy DF (2015) Strategy selection and outcome prediction in sport using dynamic learning for stochastic processes. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66, 1840-1849.

Alghamdi SM and Percy DF (2015) Reliability equivalence factors for a series-parallel system of components with exponentiated Weibull lifetimes. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, doi:10.1093/imaman/dpv001.

Alghamdi SM and Percy DF (2014) Reliability equivalence factors for a series-parallel system assuming an exponentiated Weibull distribution. Proceedings of 8th IMA International Conference on Modelling in Industrial Maintenance and Reliability (ed. Wu SM).

Samat NA and Percy DF (2014) Predictions of relative risks for dengue disease mapping in Malaysia based on stochastic SIR-SI vector-borne infectious disease transmission model. Proceedings of the International Conference on Science, Technology and Social Sciences (ICSTSS) 2012 (Kasim A, Omar WSAW, Razak NHA, Musa NLW, Halim RA and Mohamed SR), Singapore: Springer, 399-404.

Percy DF (2015) A mathematical analysis of badminton scoring systems. Operational Research Applied to Sports (Wright M), Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 181-200.


Percy DF [writing as A. Townie] (2015) Urban maths: car park mayhem. Mathematics Today, 51, 175-177.


Hussain Z, Higginson M, Pickering V and Percy DF (2015) Responding to the needs of students who are carers on an undergraduate occupational therapy programme at one UK university. Student Engagement and Experience Journal, doi: 10.7190/seej.v4i1.92.


Samat NA and Percy DF (2013) Numerical analysis of the SIR-SI differential equations with application to dengue disease mapping in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. International Journal of Mathematical, Computational, Statistical, Natural and Physical Engineering, 7, 642-651.


Percy DF (2015) Strategy selection and outcome prediction in sport using dynamic learning for stochastic processes. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66, 1840-1849.
 

Percy DF (2013) Generic handicapping for paralympic sports. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 24, 349-361.

Bell SA and Percy DF (2012) Modelling uncertainty in preventive maintenance scheduling. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 28, 604-615.

Samat NA and Percy DF (2012) Vector borne infectious disease mapping with stochastic difference equations: an analysis of dengue disease in Malaysia. Journal of Applied Statistics, 39, 2029-2046.

Percy DF (2012) The optimal dartboard? Mathematics Today, 48, 268-270.

Perrin RN, Richards JD, Pentreath V and Percy DF (2011) Muscle fatigue in chronic fatigue syndrome/myalgic encephalomyelitis (CFS/ME) and its response to a manual therapeutic approach: A pilot study. International Journal of Osteopathic Medicine, 14, 96-105.

Chadwick EA, Sandiford KJ and Percy DF (2011) Assessing student teams developing mathematical models applied to business and industrial mathematics. MSOR Connections, 11, 22-24.

Kearney JR, Percy DF and Kobbacy KAH (2011) Modelling preventive maintenance as a decay process for a two-state system. Ingenieria y Gestion de Mantenimiento, 74, 20-25.

Percy DF (2011) Prior elicitation: a compromise between idealism and pragmatism. Mathematics Today, 47, 142-147.

Percy DF (2011) Interactive shrinkage methods for class handicapping. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 22, 139-156.

Hussain Z, Pickering V, Percy DF, Crane J and Bogg J (2011) An analysis of the experiences of radiography and radiotherapy students who are carers at one UK university. Radiography, 17, 49-54.

Percy DF, Kearney JR and Kobbacy KAH (2010) Hybrid intensity models for repairable systems. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 21, 395-406.

Iswaran N and Percy DF (2010) Conflict analysis using Bayesian neural networks and generalized linear models. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 61, 332-341.

Percy DF (2015) Strategy selection and outcome prediction in sport using dynamic learning for stochastic processes. Journal of the Operational Research Society.

Alghamdi SM and Percy DF (2015) Reliability equivalence factors for a series-parallel system of components with exponentiated Weibull lifetimes. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, doi: 10.1093/imaman/dpv001.